Little Miss May and The Big Brexit Wolf

Above Photo: Original here FlickrAttribution 2.0 Generic (CC BY 2.0)

"The United Kingdom has never totally felt at home being in the European Union." That one line symbolises the true essence of Brexit. Mrs May's Big Brexit Speech in Florence yesterday caught the world's eye. And it has once again divided the UK. Nigel Farage said it was "two fingers up to the 17 million people who voted leave." However after the speech can we truly say Theresa May really is the captain of the ship?

Theresa May has been facing an up-hill battle ever since the election. Every two weeks there is another threat to her leadership, or another leaked scandal that just shows how divided the Tories really are. They rallied around her after David Cameron's resignation but now they are baying for blood. The two year transition period is a gift to sensible ministers like Philip Hammond and it is a slap in the face for Boris. But before we answer the question in the introduction, what does the two year transition period mean.

Well it means we will still be in the EU two years after we have supposedly exited. There will still be the free movement of people and the European Courts will be supreme. You can know start to see why this has been angering many Pro-Brexit ministers. However most people do think this is the best for the country; we will not be jumping off a cliff but slowly lowering ourselves into Brexit Britain.

This is certainly a victory for Europe. One of the main concessions is when she said "where there is uncertainty around underlying EU law, I want the UK courts to be able to take into account the judgments of the European Court of Justice with a view to ensuring consistent interpretation. On this basis, I hope our teams can reach firm agreement quickly." The EU side has demanded that the rights of the 3m EU nationals in Britain remain overseen by the European Court of Justice, even after Brexit. The UK rejected this outright. But here Mrs May, with some legal creativity, is opening the way to a compromise. She is firstly allowing the citizen rights agreed in the treaty have direct effect in the UK, allowing citizens to enforce the provisions in British courts. Even more significant, May accepts that future European Court of Justice case law will also be taken into account by judges. These two steps combined may allow the EU to drop demands for direct ECJ jurisdiction.

So a victory for Europe and a victory for Hammond. But what about Mrs May herself. Well we can see that she has encouraged her cabinet to make compromises and is showing a more friendly face, contrary to the past few weeks allegations about the bitterness between Barnier and Davis. She is showing her leadership skills. However we can tell she is exhausted. She is always facing controversy and back stabbing at every turn. 

So in conclusion I think that Mrs May will not survive the next two years. She is trying her best but she is now the "Caretaker Prime Minister." Her speech signifies hope for a good relationship with Europe and better talks, but I think the Big Bad Wolf is ready to eat Little Mrs May...